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    1.0.32

    Fifth Bond Switch Falls Flat as Holders of Near-Maturity Paper Opt to Stay Put

    Harry
    By Harry Njuguna
    - April 14, 2026
    - April 14, 2026
    Kenya Business newsMarketsMacroeconomics
    Fifth Bond Switch Falls Flat as Holders of Near-Maturity Paper Opt to Stay Put

    The Central Bank of Kenya's fifth bond switch auction drew just KSh 2.56Bn in bids against a KSh 20Bn target, a 12.80% performance rate that marks the weakest result in the short history of Kenya's switch programme.

    • •CBK accepted KSh 1.75Bn, converting just KSh 1.76Bn of the source bond FXD1/2016/010, which matures in August 2026, into the destination FXD1/2018/015 due in May 2033.
    • •With only four months to maturity, FXD1/2016/010 is effectively a money market instrument yielding 7.67%.
    • •Holders who have stayed through the January switch are likely those with a preference for near-term liquidity or an unwillingness to extend duration by 6.8 years at current pricing.
    MetricResult
    Destination BondFXD1/2018/015
    Maturity09 May 2033
    Coupon12.650%
    Amount OfferedKSh 20.00Bn
    Bids ReceivedKSh 2.56Bn
    Performance Rate12.80%
    Amount AcceptedKSh 1.75Bn
    Bid-to-Cover1.46x
    Avg Accepted Yield11.97%
    Price per KSh 100108.36
    Amount SwitchedKSh 1.76Bn

    The result is a sharp departure from the two prior switches in 2026. The January operation, which targeted the same source bond FXD1/2016/010, drew KSh 26.49Bn in bids and accepted KSh 25.17Bn against a KSh 20Bn offer, a 132% performance rate. The March switch, converting FXD1/2021/005 into FXD3/2019/015, attracted KSh 22.21Bn and accepted KSh 18.4Bn against a KSh 15Bn target.

    SwitchDateSourceTargetBidsAcceptedPerformance
    3rdJan 2026FXD1/2016/010KSh 20BnKSh 26.49BnKSh 25.17Bn132%
    4thMar 2026FXD1/2021/005KSh 15BnKSh 22.21BnKSh 18.40Bn148%
    5thApr 2026FXD1/2016/010KSh 20BnKSh 2.56BnKSh 1.75Bn12.8%

    The weak uptake likely reflects exhaustion of willing sellers in the source bond. The January switch already absorbed KSh 25.17Bn of FXD1/2016/010 holdings, and remaining holders appear to prefer collecting the 15.039% coupon through the August maturity rather than accepting a 239 basis point reduction to 12.650% and paying a premium of 108.36 per KSh 100 for the destination bond.

    The accepted yield of 11.97% came in well below both the destination bond's 12.65% coupon and the market weighted average of 12.32%, indicating CBK rejected higher-yield bids even in a thinly subscribed auction.

    The result leaves the bulk of FXD1/2016/010's remaining outstanding balance to be redeemed at maturity in August, adding to near-term refinancing pressure that Treasury will need to address through regular issuance. CBK has signalled further bond issues for May 2026, with details to be provided in forthcoming prospectuses.

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